Musical Dice -- The Fibonacci Freeroll Strategy
Written March 9, 2023
Note: This strategy was inspired by two craps strategies presented by Crappy the Craps Man. One strategy, which Crappy calls his ATM strategy, entails playing from the Don't Pass line, starting with one unit, then going up one unit as you lose, and down one unit as you win until you break even. The other strategy Crappy presented is more of a freeroll strategy, which is to be used, after you get to be a few units ahead. Now Crappy recommends using 20 units as your bankroll, and five playing levels, or up to five units to be played on the Don't Pass line.
Here, I'm changing the ATM portion of the strategy so that not only can you play this from the Don't Pass line, but you can also play this from the Pass line as well. I'm recommending ths same 20 units to be your bankroll, but the playing levels will be somewhat different. With my strategy, the first three levels will be the same, but the fourth level will be 5 units, instead of 4, and the fifth level will be 8 units instead of 5. So with my strategy, the sequence of unit levels go 1, 2, 3, 5, and 8. You may recognize this as part of the Fibonacci number sequence. And this is why I'm calling this strategy of mine the Fibonacci Freeroll Strategy.
So how does this strategy work? It starts with a single unit bet on either the Pass or the Don't Pass. You can choose value of your unit. For example, if you're playing with $25 units, your bankroll should be $500, or if you're playing with $50 units, your bankroll should be $1000. Note: you'll want larger units for this, the first part of the strategy, than when you do the freeroll strategy, since that will give you more ways to play with your profits. Anyway, if you win with your one unit, you stay there with your one unit. If you lose, you replace your one unit on the Pass or Don't Pass line, with two units, then three units, if you lose again, then five, then eight, if you continue to lose. If you lose when you were at eight units, you're done, and you've lost a total of 19 units. But at any time, if you win, you reduce your bet level down to the previous level. For example, if you had raised your bet up to five units, then you win, you can drop your bet down to three units. The nice thing about the Fibonacci sequence way of betting is that after two wins in a row, you would at least break even, and you can drop your bet all the way down to one unit.
The goal of the first part of this strategy is to get to a profit of a few units, then for the freeroll part of the strategy, gamble with half of your profits, and once you're done playing with that money, leave the table. You will still be ahead.
Me personally, I prefer to play with $25 units on $5 or $10 tables, and $50 units on either $15 or $25 tables, going up to 4 units ahead, and then free-rolling with 2 of the 4 units, retaining at least 2 units for profits. This way, when I freeroll, I can do 44 inside, if I'm playing with $25 units, and I made 4 of them. Or I can do 96 across on a 15-dollar table, playing with $50 units, and getting ahead by 4 units. The way I'd play this, is once you place your Place bets for the freeroll, play until the seven-out, and then leave the table.
Of course, there are a number of ways to play this strategy. For example, you may decide after making your goal of winning x amount of units, you may want to leave the table right away, and that is perfectly fine. It's your money. Or you may want to keep winning until you double your bankroll (in Crappy's original ATM video, that's what he did). It's completely up to you.
Admittedly, the first part of this strategy is a grind, and it can get rather boring, especially since you're only making a Pass line or a Don't Pass line bet, and nothing else. But stay focused on your goal, and you'll be happy you did. The exciting part comes when you can use the freeroll part of this strategy.
As I stated earlier, you can do the first part of this strategy from either the Pass or the Don't Pass. Crappy did his ATM strategy from the Don't Pass. Which is more successful? Since the Pass and the Don't Pass have close to the same casino edge, it would stand to reason that both ways to do this strategy would yield about the same success rate. I recently did a study where I rolled 50 rounds on the Pass line and 50 rounds on the Don't Pass line, with the goal being 4 units ahead before I freerolled with 2 of the units. The results of my study were that I had an 88% success rate from the Pass line, and an 82% success rate from the Don't Pass line. Your own results may vary, but I think a strategy with an average success rate of 85% is definitely worth trying, don't you think?
My recommendations are, play the first part of this strategy from the Don't side with a bunch of random shooters. But if there some good shooters at the table, then you may want to play the first part of this strategy from the Pass line. As I say with any strategy, no strategy is guaranteed to win all the time, but I think this strategy is a powerful weapon to add to your arsenal of craps strategies. Good luck! ☺